Match

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 34Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Yeni Mersin IdmanyurduYeşilyurt Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,531) and Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621).

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win37 %
Draw28 %
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Çorluspor 1947(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)4-33. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(home)3-13. Lig - Play-offs

How many goals should we expect?

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor2.11.1410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor.
Where and when is Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor played?
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Yeşilyurt Belediyespor is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?