Match

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 28Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, Malatya

Yeşilyurt BelediyesporNiğde Belediyesispor

The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Niğde Belediyesispor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Yeşilyurt Belediyespor (1,621) and Niğde Belediyesispor (1,541).

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win53 %
Draw25 %
Niğde Belediyesispor win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Niğde Belediyesispor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Çorluspor 1947(away)0-13. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)4-33. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 23, 2026Silifke Belediyespor(home)3-13. Lig - Play-offs
Niğde Belediyesispor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)2-33. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)4-23. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 202612 Bingölspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Niğde Belediyesispor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 2-1 Niğde Belediyesispor3. Lig - Group 2
Nov 2, 2025Niğde Belediyesispor 1-4 Yeşilyurt Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Niğde Belediyesispor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor2.11.1410/158/15
Niğde Belediyesispor1.61.338/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor?
The Footlab model makes Yeşilyurt Belediyespor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Niğde Belediyesispor.
Where and when is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor played?
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor vs Niğde Belediyesispor is played on March 17, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Malatya Yeşiltepe Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor and Niğde Belediyesispor

Ready to know everything about football?