Where and when is York United vs Supra du Quebec played?

York United vs Supra du Quebec is played on October 7, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at York Lions Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

York United vs Supra du Quebec: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 7, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)York Lions Stadium, Toronto, Ontario

York United

Supra du Quebec

The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for York United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win York United vs Supra du Quebec?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate York United (1,642) and Supra du Quebec (1,680).

York United win38 %

Draw23 %

Supra du Quebec win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, York United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Supra du Quebec have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

York United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(home)	4-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	Pacific FC(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	0-5	Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026	Forge(home)	1-3	Canadian Premier League

Supra du Quebec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	York United(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Forge(away)	2-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	1-2	Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	3-3	Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Cavalry FC(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 York United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Supra du Quebec win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	York United 1-1 Supra du Quebec	Canadian Premier League
May 29, 2026	Supra du Quebec 3-1 York United	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: York United vs Supra du Quebec on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

York United score 1.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
York United	1.2	2.3	1	11/15	8/15
Supra du Quebec	1.8	2.1	0	15/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

York United sit 7th in Canadian Premier League (17 points from 15 matches) and Supra du Quebec sit 6th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Supra du Quebec	17	5	3	9	25	32	18
7	York United	15	4	5	6	20	34	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for York United vs Supra du Quebec?: The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for York United.
Where and when is York United vs Supra du Quebec played?: York United vs Supra du Quebec is played on October 7, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at York Lions Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.