Yuen Long vs Sham Shui Po: result 4-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 4, 2012 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Yuen Long Stadium, Yuen Long
Full time
What was the result of Yuen Long vs Sham Shui Po?
Yuen Long won 4-1 on November 4, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yuen Long have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sham Shui Po have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Wanchai(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 21, 2012 | Shatin(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Eastern(away) | 5-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Happy Valley(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2012 | Tuen Mun FC(home) | 2-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Wing Yee(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Eastern(away) | 0-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Shatin(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Yuen Long score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sham Shui Po score 0.7 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuen Long | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sham Shui Po | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yuen Long sit 9th in HKFA 1st Division (17 points from 13 matches) and Sham Shui Po sit 6th (22 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sham Shui Po | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 9 | Yuen Long | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy