Zira vs Şamaxı FK: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Zirə qəsəbə stadionu, Zirya
The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Şamaxı FK. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Zira starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zira vs Şamaxı FK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zira
4-3-3- 27L. Bayéré
- 7E. Aydın
- 9D. Volkovi
- 21Guima
- 17Vieirinha
- 11A. Guseynov
- 4Ruan
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 2A. Seydiyev
- 32Q. Alıyev
- 72H. Quliyev
Şamaxı FK
4-3-3- 9T. Akhvlediani
- 80H. Ismayilov
- 11A. Bouali
- 97O. Məmmədov
- 10E. Adilxanov
- 13Ricardo Apolinário
- 4Rui Pacheco
- 52R. Moumini
- 5E. Rustamov
- 3Jota
- 1Ricardo Fernandes
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zira have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Şamaxı FK have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-5 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Zira wins, 1 draw, 1 Şamaxı FK win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Zira 1-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 2-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Zira 2-1 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Zira 3-0 Şamaxı FK | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Şamaxı FK 1-2 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Zira 3-1 Şamaxı FK | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zira score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Şamaxı FK score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zira | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Şamaxı FK | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zira sit 5th in Premyer Liqa (10 points from 6 matches) and Şamaxı FK sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Şamaxı FK.
- Where and when is Zira vs Şamaxı FK played?
- Zira vs Şamaxı FK is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Zirə qəsəbə stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.