Zlaté Moravce vs MFK Bytča: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Štadión FC ViOn, Zlaté Moravce
The Footlab model makes Zlaté Moravce the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for MFK Bytča. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zlaté Moravce vs MFK Bytča?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Zlaté Moravce (1,685) and MFK Bytča (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zlaté Moravce have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; MFK Bytča have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MFK Bytča(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina II(home) | 0-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rosina(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pohronie(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter Bratislava(home) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Petržalka(away) | 0-4 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Zlaté Moravce win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 MFK Bytča win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MFK Bytča 2-1 Zlaté Moravce | 2. liga |
Last archived meeting: MFK Bytča vs Zlaté Moravce on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zlaté Moravce score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; MFK Bytča score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlaté Moravce | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| MFK Bytča | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zlaté Moravce sit 11th in 2. liga (5 points from 5 matches) and MFK Bytča sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Zlaté Moravce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zlaté Moravce vs MFK Bytča?
- The Footlab model makes Zlaté Moravce the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for MFK Bytča.
- Where and when is Zlaté Moravce vs MFK Bytča played?
- Zlaté Moravce vs MFK Bytča is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión FC ViOn, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.