Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Štadión FC ViOn, Zlaté Moravce
The Footlab model makes Petržalka the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Zlaté Moravce. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka?
Petržalka starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zlaté Moravce have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Petržalka have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | MFK Bytča(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Žilina II(home) | 0-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 1-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(away) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nová Dedinka(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tatran Prešov(home) | 4-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Galanta(away) | 3-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | MFK Bytča(home) | 4-0 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Zlaté Moravce win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Petržalka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce 1-0 Petržalka | 2. liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Petržalka 3-2 Zlaté Moravce | 2. liga |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Zlaté Moravce 2-0 Petržalka | 2. liga |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Petržalka 0-1 Zlaté Moravce | 2. liga |
| Jun 23, 2023 | Zlaté Moravce 3-1 Petržalka | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Zlaté Moravce 4-0 Petržalka | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zlaté Moravce score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Petržalka score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlaté Moravce | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Petržalka | 2.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zlaté Moravce sit 11th in 2. liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Petržalka sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Zlaté Moravce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka?
- The Footlab model makes Petržalka the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Zlaté Moravce.
- Where and when is Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka played?
- Zlaté Moravce vs Petržalka is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Štadión FC ViOn, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.