Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Karaelmas Kemal Köksal Stadyumu, Zonguldak
The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Zonguldak Kömürspor (1,617) and Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zonguldak Kömürspor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 4-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Giresunspor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(away) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(home) | 5-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Zonguldak Kömürspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor 0-2 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 2-1 Zonguldak Kömürspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zonguldak Kömürspor score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zonguldak Kömürspor | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
- The Footlab model makes Zonguldak Kömürspor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK.
- Where and when is Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?
- Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Karaelmas Kemal Köksal Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 11, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Nov 11, 2026DüzcesporvsGölcükspor
- Nov 11, 2026PazarsporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Nov 11, 2026Karabük İdman YurduvsOrduspor 1967
- Nov 11, 2026Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Nov 11, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Nov 11, 2026GalatavsSilivrispor
- Nov 11, 2026İnkılapsporvsAmasyaspor 1968