1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála?
1º de Agosto starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Agosto have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Luanda City(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1º de Agosto win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1º de Agosto 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| May 16, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-2 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1º de Agosto 4-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1º de Agosto 4-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála on Mar 6, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Agosto | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Agosto sit 4th in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1º de Agosto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 55%, against 29% for a draw and 16% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is 1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- 1º de Agosto vs Recreativo da Caála is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 11 de Novembro, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.