1º de Maio vs Sagrada Esperança: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Sagrada Esperança?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,589) and Sagrada Esperança (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sagrada Esperança have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1º de Maio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sagrada Esperança win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Feb 15, 2026 | 1º de Maio 2-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Jul 8, 2018 | 1º de Maio 2-2 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Sagrada Esperança 2-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Sagrada Esperança 2-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 23, 2017 | 1º de Maio 2-4 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Maio on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Sagrada Esperança sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Sagrada Esperança?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Sagrada Esperança played?
- 1º de Maio vs Sagrada Esperança is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.