1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Bravos do Maquis FC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC?
Bravos do Maquis FC starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,698 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bravos do Maquis FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(home) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Guelson FC(home) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Luanda City(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1º de Maio win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bravos do Maquis FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1º de Maio 0-1 Bravos do Maquis FC | Girabola |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bravos do Maquis FC 5-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Bravos do Maquis FC 3-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 21, 2018 | 1º de Maio 1-0 Bravos do Maquis FC | Girabola |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Bravos do Maquis FC 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1º de Maio 0-0 Bravos do Maquis FC | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bravos do Maquis FC score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Bravos do Maquis FC | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Bravos do Maquis FC sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bravos do Maquis FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Bravos do Maquis FC.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC played?
- 1º de Maio vs Bravos do Maquis FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.