Petro de Luanda vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 70%, against 23% for a draw and 7% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petro de Luanda vs Recreativo da Caála?
Petro de Luanda is a heavy favourite: 1,971 Elo points against 1,657 — a 314-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petro de Luanda have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Teruel(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Petro de Luanda win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Petro de Luanda 2-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| May 30, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Petro de Luanda 0-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Petro de Luanda 3-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 1-1 Petro de Luanda | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs Petro de Luanda on Jan 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Petro de Luanda score 1.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petro de Luanda | 1.7 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petro de Luanda sit 8th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petro de Luanda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petro de Luanda vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes Petro de Luanda the favourite at 70%, against 23% for a draw and 7% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is Petro de Luanda vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- Petro de Luanda vs Recreativo da Caála is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio 11 de Novembro, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.