1º de Maio vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, Benguela
The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Recreativo da Caála. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Recreativo da Caála?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate 1º de Maio (1,589) and Recreativo da Caála (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 10, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 1º de Maio win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2018 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Apr 14, 2018 | 1º de Maio 4-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 18, 2017 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1º de Maio 1-2 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Recreativo da Caála 0-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Recreativo da Caála 2-1 1º de Maio | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo da Caála vs 1º de Maio on Jul 22, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1º de Maio sit 7th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1º de Maio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for Recreativo da Caála.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- 1º de Maio vs Recreativo da Caála is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Edelfride Palhares da Costa, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.