Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Calulo, Calulo
The Footlab model makes Recreativo do Libolo the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Académica do Lobito. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Recreativo do Libolo (1,602) and Académica do Lobito (1,590).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo do Libolo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Académica do Lobito have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 3-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wiliete(away) | 0-2 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Interclube(home) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Petro de Luanda(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 14, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Recreativo do Libolo win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Académica do Lobito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo 3-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Académica do Lobito 1-1 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Académica do Lobito 3-2 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo 1-1 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Académica do Lobito 0-1 Recreativo do Libolo | Girabola |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Recreativo do Libolo 1-0 Académica do Lobito | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo do Libolo score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Académica do Lobito score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo do Libolo | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Académica do Lobito | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo do Libolo sit 1st in Girabola (3 points from 1 matches) and Académica do Lobito sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recreativo do Libolo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Académica do Lobito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo do Libolo the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Académica do Lobito.
- Where and when is Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito played?
- Recreativo do Libolo vs Académica do Lobito is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Calulo, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.