1. FC Muhlhausen vs FC Nöttingen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 31Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Muhlhausen vs FC Nöttingen?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate 1. FC Muhlhausen (1,729) and FC Nöttingen (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Muhlhausen have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; FC Nöttingen have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Holzhausen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oberachern(home) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Backnang(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Backnang(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Reutlingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | Bissingen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 22, 2026 | Essingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Muhlhausen score 2.0 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 3; FC Nöttingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Muhlhausen | 2.0 | 3.7 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
| FC Nöttingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Muhlhausen sit 14th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Nöttingen sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | FC Nöttingen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Muhlhausen vs FC Nöttingen?
- The Footlab model makes FC Nöttingen the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for 1. FC Muhlhausen.
- Where and when is 1. FC Muhlhausen vs FC Nöttingen played?
- 1. FC Muhlhausen vs FC Nöttingen is played on May 5, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.