Essingen vs Oberachern: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Baden-WürttembergBaden-Württemberg - 31Kick-off on May 5, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Carento-Arena Essingen, Essingen
The Footlab model makes Oberachern the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Essingen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Essingen vs Oberachern?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Essingen (1,775) and Oberachern (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Essingen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Oberachern have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Türkspor Neckarsulm(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Balingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Young Boys Reutlingen(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Ansbach(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Teningen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1. FC Muhlhausen(away) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Karlsruhe II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 30, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 23, 2026 | VfR Aalen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Essingen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Oberachern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Essingen 1-0 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Oberachern 2-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 10, 2025 | Oberachern 1-2 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Essingen 0-0 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| May 12, 2024 | Essingen 0-2 Oberachern | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Oberachern 0-0 Essingen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: Essingen vs Oberachern on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Essingen score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Oberachern score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essingen | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Oberachern | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Essingen sit 7th in Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg (4 points from 3 matches) and Oberachern sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Oberachern | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Essingen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Essingen vs Oberachern?
- The Footlab model makes Oberachern the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Essingen.
- Where and when is Essingen vs Oberachern played?
- Essingen vs Oberachern is played on May 5, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Carento-Arena Essingen, in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 5, 2027FV RavensburgvsNormannia Gmünd
- May 5, 2027CFR PforzheimvsReutlingen
- May 5, 2027BalingenvsTeningen
- May 5, 2027Türkspor NeckarsulmvsBacknang
- May 5, 2027Karlsruhe IIvsFC 08 Villingen
- May 5, 2027TSV SingenvsBahlinger SC
- May 5, 20271. FC MuhlhausenvsFC Nöttingen
- May 5, 2027Young Boys ReutlingenvsFC Holzhausen