24 Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, Erzincan
The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for 24 Erzincanspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 24 Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate 24 Erzincanspor (1,712) and İnegölspor (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 24 Erzincanspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; İnegölspor have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Erbaaspor(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | İnegölspor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 24 Erzincanspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 İnegölspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | İnegölspor 4-0 24 Erzincanspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 24 Erzincanspor 0-1 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 1, 2025 | İnegölspor 3-2 24 Erzincanspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 24 Erzincanspor 2-1 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Jan 13, 2024 | İnegölspor 2-0 24 Erzincanspor | 2. Lig |
| Aug 27, 2023 | 24 Erzincanspor 1-0 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: İnegölspor vs 24 Erzincanspor on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Erzincanspor | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
24 Erzincanspor sit 11th in 2. Lig (51 points from 36 matches) and İnegölspor sit 7th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
| 11 | 24 Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 24 Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor?
- The Footlab model makes İnegölspor the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for 24 Erzincanspor.
- Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor played?
- 24 Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.