24 Erzincanspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, Erzincan
The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 24 Erzincanspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate 24 Erzincanspor (1,701) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 24 Erzincanspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Erbaaspor(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | İnegölspor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 24 Erzincanspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-0 24 Erzincanspor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Karacabey Belediyespor 3-0 24 Erzincanspor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 24 Erzincanspor 2-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 6, 2019 | Karacabey Belediyespor 1-0 24 Erzincanspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 24 Erzincanspor 3-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 24 Erzincanspor 1-2 Karacabey Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Karacabey Belediyespor vs 24 Erzincanspor on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Erzincanspor | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
24 Erzincanspor sit 11th in 2. Lig (51 points from 36 matches) and Karacabey Belediyespor sit 13th (41 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 24 Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 51 |
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 24 Erzincanspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes 24 Erzincanspor the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- 24 Erzincanspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.