Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor played?

Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, Adapazarı

Sakaryaspor

Serik Spor

The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sakaryaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Sakaryaspor (1,661) and Serik Spor (1,679).

Sakaryaspor win36 %

Draw25 %

Serik Spor win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sakaryaspor have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Serik Spor have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sakaryaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Manisa F.K.(away)	0-5	1. Lig
Apr 26, 2026	Çorum FK(home)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Hatayspor(away)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 13, 2026	Esenler Erokspor(home)	1-2	1. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Ümraniyespor(away)	0-2	1. Lig

Serik Spor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Boluspor(away)	1-3	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Hatayspor(home)	4-2	1. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Manisa F.K.(away)	0-1	1. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Keçiörengücü(away)	0-0	1. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Vanspor FK(home)	1-6	1. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sakaryaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Serik Spor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Serik Spor 2-0 Sakaryaspor	1. Lig
Nov 8, 2025	Sakaryaspor 2-3 Serik Spor	1. Lig
Apr 24, 2022	Serik Spor 1-2 Sakaryaspor	2. Lig
Dec 12, 2021	Sakaryaspor 2-1 Serik Spor	2. Lig
Apr 15, 2021	Serik Spor 0-3 Sakaryaspor	2. Lig
Jan 18, 2021	Sakaryaspor 1-1 Serik Spor	2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sakaryaspor	0.9	1.9	2	7/15	7/15
Serik Spor	1.4	2.1	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor?: The Footlab model makes Serik Spor the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sakaryaspor.
Where and when is Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor played?: Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.