24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, Erzincan
The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for 24 Erzincanspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate 24 Erzincanspor (1,701) and Yeni Orduspor (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 24 Erzincanspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Yeni Orduspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Erbaaspor(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | İnegölspor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 24 Erzincanspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yeni Orduspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 24 Erzincanspor 1-3 Yeni Orduspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 24 Erzincanspor 1-1 Yeni Orduspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 11, 2018 | Yeni Orduspor 0-1 24 Erzincanspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 24 Erzincanspor 0-0 Yeni Orduspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: 24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor on Oct 27, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
24 Erzincanspor score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Erzincanspor | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Yeni Orduspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 24 Erzincanspor | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 49 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
- The Footlab model makes Yeni Orduspor the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for 24 Erzincanspor.
- Where and when is 24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor played?
- 24 Erzincanspor vs Yeni Orduspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 13 Şubat Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.