Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kütahya Dumlupınar Stadyumu, Kütahya
The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Karacabey Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Kütahyaspor (1,759) and Karacabey Belediyespor (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kütahyaspor have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Karacabey Belediyespor have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Söke 1970(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bornova 1877(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-4 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Denizli İYG(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 4-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Kütahyaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karacabey Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Kütahyaspor 2-1 Karacabey Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Karacabey Belediyespor 4-1 Kütahyaspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2012 | Kütahyaspor 1-0 Karacabey Belediyespor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor on Feb 11, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Kütahyaspor score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karacabey Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kütahyaspor | 2.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Karacabey Belediyespor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Karacabey Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor played?
- Kütahyaspor vs Karacabey Belediyespor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kütahya Dumlupınar Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.