A. Italiano vs D. Melipilla: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 27, 2021 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Full time
What was the result of A. Italiano vs D. Melipilla?
A. Italiano won 1-0 on April 27, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 16′G. ÁlvarezA. Italiano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Italiano have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; D. Melipilla have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 10, 2021 | U. Catolica(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 5, 2021 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 30, 2021 | D. La Serena(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2021 | D. La Serena(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2021 | Palestino(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Union Espanola(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2021 | Nublense(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
A. Italiano score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; D. Melipilla score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| D. Melipilla | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy