Cobresal vs A. Italiano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Cobre, El Salvador, Diego de Almagro
The Footlab AI model makes Cobresal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for A. Italiano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cobresal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
On Elo ratings, Cobresal has 1,666 points and A. Italiano 1,772.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cobresal vs A. Italiano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cobresal
4-2-3-1- 32F. Frías
- 38F. Villagrán
- 11J. Brea
- 17J. Fuentes
- 39L. Morales
- 7C. Yanis
- 20J. Tiznado
- 15A. Castillo
- 23G. Pacheco
- 18C. Moreno
- 12J. Santander
A. Italiano
4-4-2- 11F. Troyansky
- 9D. Coelho
- 21G. Chiaverano
- 8M. Collao
- 20M. Jiménez
- 19C. Pinares
- 3F. Salomoni
- 29M. Ortiz
- 35R. Rebolledo
- 13E. Ferrario
- 1T. Ahumada
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobresal have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; A. Italiano have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Everton de Vina(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Colo Colo(away) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cobresal wins, 1 draw, 3 A. Italiano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | A. Italiano 2-1 Cobresal | Primera División |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Cobresal 1-1 A. Italiano | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Oct 31, 2025 | A. Italiano 1-2 Cobresal | Primera División |
| May 17, 2025 | Cobresal 0-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Cobresal 0-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Apr 30, 2024 | A. Italiano 0-1 Cobresal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: A. Italiano vs Cobresal on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobresal score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; A. Italiano score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobresal | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| A. Italiano | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobresal sit 14th in Primera División (27 points from 26 matches) and A. Italiano sit 13th (30 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Italiano | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 27 |
A question about Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobresal vs A. Italiano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cobresal the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for A. Italiano.
- Where and when is Cobresal vs A. Italiano played?
- Cobresal vs A. Italiano is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Cobre, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.