A. Italiano vs Union La Calera: result 4-3 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
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What was the result of A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
A. Italiano won 4-3 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′L. ValenciaA. Italiano
- 39′S. SáezUnion La Calera
- 42′L. BenegasUnion La Calera
- 45′M. JiménezUnion La Calera (o.g.)
- 54′M. FuentesA. Italiano
- 66′M. FuentesA. Italiano
- 75′G. GuiffreyA. Italiano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Italiano have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Union La Calera have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Huachipato(away) | 2-4 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Huachipato(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Union Espanola(away) | 4-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 30, 2025 | O'Higgins(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Everton de Vina(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Palestino(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Cobresal(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2025 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Huachipato(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 A. Italiano win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Union La Calera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Union La Calera 1-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Union La Calera 2-1 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2024 | A. Italiano 2-2 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2023 | A. Italiano 2-1 Union La Calera | Primera División |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Union La Calera 0-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2022 | A. Italiano 0-2 Union La Calera | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Union La Calera vs A. Italiano on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
A. Italiano score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union La Calera score 0.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Union La Calera | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A. Italiano sit 13th in Primera División (16 points from 15 matches) and Union La Calera sit 16th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy