A. Italiano vs Palestino: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
The Footlab model makes A. Italiano the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Palestino. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Palestino?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate A. Italiano (1,756) and Palestino (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A. Italiano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Palestino have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Huachipato(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 A. Italiano win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Palestino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | A. Italiano 3-2 Palestino | Copa Chile |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Palestino 1-2 A. Italiano | Copa Chile |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Palestino 0-0 A. Italiano | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2025 | A. Italiano 1-1 Palestino | Primera División |
| May 11, 2025 | A. Italiano 2-2 Palestino | Copa Chile |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Palestino 0-2 A. Italiano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: A. Italiano vs Palestino on Jun 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
A. Italiano score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palestino score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Palestino | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A. Italiano sit 13th in Primera División (16 points from 15 matches) and Palestino sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A. Italiano vs Palestino?
- The Footlab model makes A. Italiano the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Palestino.
- Where and when is A. Italiano vs Palestino played?
- A. Italiano vs Palestino is played on November 29, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.