Match

Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus

Aarhus FremadEsbjerg

The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Esbjerg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aarhus Fremad wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Aarhus Fremad (1,801) and Esbjerg (1,775).

38%27%35%
Aarhus Fremad winDrawEsbjerg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aarhus Fremad

4-3-3
  1. 11K. Lunding
  2. 7M. Kaastrup
  3. 9S. Andreasen
  1. 28E. Caspersen Egerton
  2. 6F. Grube
  3. 15C. Nygaard
  1. 33A. Ludwig
  2. 4A. Pisani
  3. 10M. Kirchheiner
  4. 2M. Kjølby
  1. 1V. Højbjerg

Esbjerg

4-3-3
  1. 80M. Brajanac
  2. 9J. Ampofo
  3. 11P. Bjur
  1. 7N. Strunck
  2. 8M. Maden
  3. 14J. Kolawole
  1. 19S. Eng Strand
  2. 25Gustav Bjerge
  3. 5J. Foss
  4. 2Frode Aronsson
  1. 1W. Lykke

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Esbjerg have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aarhus Fremad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Hvidovre(home)1-31. Division
Sep 16, 2026Hørsholm-Usserød(away)1-1DBU Pokalen
Sep 11, 2026Vendsyssel FF(away)0-01. Division
Sep 6, 2026Kolding IF(home)2-11. Division
Aug 30, 2026Vejle(home)0-01. Division
Esbjerg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026AB Copenhagen(away)0-31. Division
Sep 15, 2026HIK(away)5-0DBU Pokalen
Sep 12, 2026HB Koge(home)2-21. Division
Sep 5, 2026FC Fredericia(away)0-11. Division
Aug 30, 2026Vendsyssel FF(home)0-21. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aarhus Fremad wins, 2 draws, 2 Esbjerg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 4, 2026Esbjerg 2-0 Aarhus FremadFriendlies Clubs
Oct 25, 2025Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Esbjerg1. Division
Sep 28, 2025Esbjerg 1-1 Aarhus Fremad1. Division
May 18, 2024Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Esbjerg2. Division
Apr 26, 2024Esbjerg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad2. Division
Mar 24, 2024Esbjerg 2-2 Aarhus Fremad2. Division

Last archived meeting: Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aarhus Fremad score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Esbjerg score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aarhus Fremad1.10.967/156/15
Esbjerg1.91.537/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aarhus Fremad sit 4th in 1. Division (13 points from 9 matches) and Esbjerg sit 12th (5 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Aarhus Fremad934210913
12Esbjerg912610195

A question about Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg?
The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Esbjerg.
Where and when is Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg played?
Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Riisvangen Stadion, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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