FC Fredericia vs Hobro: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Monjasa Park, Fredericia
The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hobro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Fredericia vs Hobro?
FC Fredericia starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Fredericia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hobro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SfB-Oure(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Fredericia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hobro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | Hobro 1-4 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2024 | FC Fredericia 1-1 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Jun 2, 2024 | FC Fredericia 0-1 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Hobro 1-2 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Hobro 0-2 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Jul 23, 2023 | FC Fredericia 0-2 Hobro | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Hobro vs FC Fredericia on Oct 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Fredericia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hobro score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Fredericia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hobro | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Fredericia sit 4th in 1. Division (9 points from 5 matches) and Hobro sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Fredericia vs Hobro?
- The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hobro.
- Where and when is FC Fredericia vs Hobro played?
- FC Fredericia vs Hobro is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Monjasa Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.