Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro II: result 1-0 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 9Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus
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What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro II?
Aarhus Fremad won 1-0 on October 11, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad have 10 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Hobro II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Holstebro(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Vorup(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 24, 2014 | FC Fredericia(home) | 2-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Brabrand II(away) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Lindholm(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Lyseng(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Holstebro(home) | 0-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2014 | Vorup(away) | 0-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Brabrand II(home) | 1-3 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Lindholm(away) | 1-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus Fremad score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Hobro II score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1 | 11/14 | 10/14 |
| Hobro II | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy