Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Riisvangen Stadion, Århus
The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Hobro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Aarhus Fremad (1,855) and Hobro (1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus Fremad have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hobro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringkøbing(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 0-4 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aarhus Fremad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hobro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hobro 1-2 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| May 14, 2026 | Hobro 0-3 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Hobro | 1. Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hobro 0-0 Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Hobro 2-0 Aarhus Fremad | 1. Division |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Hobro | DBU Pokalen |
Last archived meeting: Hobro vs Aarhus Fremad on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus Fremad score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hobro score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus Fremad | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Hobro | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus Fremad sit 5th in 1. Division (8 points from 5 matches) and Hobro sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hobro | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus Fremad the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Hobro.
- Where and when is Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro played?
- Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Riisvangen Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.