Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Nordsjaelland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Aarhus (2,077) and FC Nordsjaelland (2,094).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC Nordsjaelland have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Odense(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viborg(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonderjyske(away) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aarhus win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 FC Nordsjaelland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Aarhus 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Aarhus 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 1-2 Aarhus | Superliga |
| May 16, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Aarhus 2-0 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Nordsjaelland score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus sit 10th in Superliga (3 points from 4 matches) and FC Nordsjaelland sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland?
- The Footlab model makes Aarhus the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Nordsjaelland.
- Where and when is Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland played?
- Aarhus vs FC Nordsjaelland is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.