Abahani vs Arambagh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, Gopalganj
The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Arambagh. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Abahani vs Arambagh?
Abahani is a heavy favourite: 1,541 Elo points against 1,172, a 369-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Abahani vs Arambagh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 18Nazmul Huda Faysal
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 13K. Islam
- 4Y. Khan
- 3M. Bablu
- 2H. Murad
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Arambagh
4-3-3- 7S. R. Khan
- 20M. Pradhan
- 11K. Kizito
- 14S. Joy Tanchangy
- 40A. Cishty
- 15Joy Kumar
- 2M. Rocky
- 5Mahamudul Kiron
- 4Mohammed Suleman
- 12N. Uddin
- 1A. Hossen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abahani have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Arambagh have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka(away) | 1-3 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rahmatgonj MFS(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Abahani(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Abahani wins, 0 draws, 0 Arambagh wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh 0-4 Abahani | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Abahani 3-0 Arambagh | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2021 | Abahani 6-1 Arambagh | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Arambagh 0-4 Abahani | Premier League |
| Jul 5, 2019 | Abahani 3-0 Arambagh | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Arambagh 1-2 Abahani | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Abahani score 2.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arambagh score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abahani | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Arambagh | 0.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Abahani sit 2nd in Premier League (37 points from 18 matches) and Arambagh sit 9th (14 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Abahani | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 37 |
| 9 | Arambagh | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 14 |
A question about Abahani vs Arambagh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Abahani vs Arambagh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Abahani the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Arambagh.
- Where and when is Abahani vs Arambagh played?
- Abahani vs Arambagh is played on January 9, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Sheikh Fazlul Haque Mani Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.