Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Fortis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mohammedan Dhaka wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
On Elo ratings, Fortis has 1,486 points and Mohammedan Dhaka 1,530.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Mohammedan Dhaka
4-3-3- 10S. Diabate
- 77A. Hossain
- 99S. Emon
- 17M. Muzaffarov
- 6M. Miah Zoni
- 21S. Hossain
- 3M. J. Hasan Shanta
- 55E. T. Agbaji
- 98R. Mia
- 22S. Uddin
- 23A. Rahman
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortis have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mohammedan Dhaka have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Qadsia(away) | 0-3 | AFC Challenge League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Arambagh(home) | 3-1 | Federation Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Fakirerpool(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Brothers Union(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fortis wins, 2 draws, 2 Mohammedan Dhaka wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mohammedan Dhaka 1-2 Fortis | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Fortis 1-1 Mohammedan Dhaka | Federation Cup |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Fortis 2-0 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
| May 9, 2025 | Fortis 1-1 Mohammedan Dhaka | Premier League |
| Dec 27, 2024 | Mohammedan Dhaka 1-0 Fortis | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Mohammedan Dhaka 4-0 Fortis | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mohammedan Dhaka vs Fortis on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortis score 2.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mohammedan Dhaka score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | 2.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Mohammedan Dhaka | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortis sit 3rd in Premier League (35 points from 18 matches) and Mohammedan Dhaka sit 5th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fortis | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Mohammedan Dhaka | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 23 |
A question about Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mohammedan Dhaka the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Fortis.
- Where and when is Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka played?
- Fortis vs Mohammedan Dhaka is played on January 9, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.