ABC vs Vasco DA Gama: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 9, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Arena das Dunas, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of ABC vs Vasco DA Gama?
Vasco DA Gama won 1-2 on August 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 36′Kléber Giacomace de Souza FreitasVasco DA Gama
- 60′Douglas dos SantosVasco DA Gama (pen.)
- 87′Dênis Marques do NascimentoABC (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ABC have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vasco DA Gama have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2014 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Parana(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2014 | Joinville(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Luverdense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jun 4, 2014 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2014 | Parana(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2014 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2014 | America-RN(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Santa Cruz(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 4, 2014 | BOA(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ABC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vasco DA Gama score 1.5 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Vasco DA Gama | 1.5 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy