Parana vs Vila Nova: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 15Kick-off on August 9, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Durival de Britto e Silva, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Parana vs Vila Nova?
Parana won 3-1 on August 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 34′Tiago AlvesParana
- 45′78026Vila Nova
- 48′Tiago AlvesParana
- 71′Arthur Lorendo Pinheiro SilvaParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parana have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vila Nova have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2014 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2014 | ABC(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2014 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2014 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2014 | Luverdense(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2014 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Santa Cruz(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 15, 2014 | BOA(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 6, 2014 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Parana score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 0.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parana | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Vila Nova | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy