Abergavenny Town vs Afan Lido: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2022 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Pen-Y-Pound Stadium, Abergavenny, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Abergavenny Town vs Afan Lido?
Abergavenny Town and Afan Lido drew 1-1 on October 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 49′?Abergavenny Town
- 71′L. McCreeshAfan Lido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abergavenny Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Afan Lido have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Goytre United(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 30, 2022 | llanelli AFC(away) | 0-6 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | Goytre United(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Taffs Well(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Abergavenny Town score 1.4 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abergavenny Town | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy