Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido played?

Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Treowen Stars

Afan Lido

The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Treowen Stars (1,581) and Afan Lido (1,498).

Treowen Stars win63 %

Draw19 %

Afan Lido win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treowen Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Treowen Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	4-2	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(home)	3-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Pontypridd Town(home)	2-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	4-1	FAW Championship

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Treowen Stars win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Afan Lido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 23, 2026	Treowen Stars 0-1 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2025	Afan Lido 0-4 Treowen Stars	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido on Mar 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Treowen Stars score 2.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Treowen Stars	2.0	2.2	1	11/15	13/15
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Treowen Stars sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Treowen Stars	4	3	0	1	11	6	9
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido?: The Footlab model makes Treowen Stars the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido played?: Treowen Stars vs Afan Lido is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.