Abergavenny Town vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 4Kick-off on August 18, 2023 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Pen-Y-Pound Stadium, Abergavenny, Monmouthshire
Full time
What was the result of Abergavenny Town vs Baglan Dragons?
Baglan Dragons won 2-3 on August 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′?Abergavenny Town
- 47′?Baglan Dragons
- 65′?Baglan Dragons
- 79′?Baglan Dragons
- 90′?Abergavenny Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Abergavenny Town have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Abergavenny Town score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abergavenny Town | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
A question about Abergavenny Town vs Baglan Dragons?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy