Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
Barry Town is a heavy favourite: 1,915 Elo points against 1,478, a 437-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 20E. Dugan
- 11R. Schwank
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 6K. Davies
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Barry Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llantwit Fardre(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tredegar Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barry Town the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Baglan Dragons.
- Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town played?
- Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.