Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town: result 2-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 22Kick-off on January 21, 2023 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
Full time
What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Aberystwyth Town won 2-1 on January 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 8′H. ArnisonAberystwyth Town
- 77′N. FlintAberystwyth Town
- 89′R. WilliamsCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2023 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-6 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Newtown AFC(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2022 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | Airbus UK(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Penybont(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2023 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Bala Town(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 3-3 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 2-2 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Aberystwyth Town 1-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2020 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Aberystwyth Town on Oct 21, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 0.9 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.5 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy