Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town: result 3-2 and analysis
Premier LeagueRelegation Round - 10Kick-off on April 22, 2023 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
Full time
What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Aberystwyth Town won 3-2 on April 22, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′R. HughesCaernarfon Town
- 39′H. ArnisonAberystwyth Town
- 45′L. BellCaernarfon Town
- 55′M. CadwalladerAberystwyth Town
- 90′N. FlintAberystwyth Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Flint Town United(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2023 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Airbus UK(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Caernarfon Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | Caernarfon Town 0-1 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Aberystwyth Town 2-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Caernarfon Town 2-1 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 3-3 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Aberystwyth Town 0-1 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Caernarfon Town 2-2 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Caernarfon Town vs Aberystwyth Town on Mar 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy