Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell: result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh CupSemi-finalKick-off on April 5, 2014 at 02:15 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
Full time
What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell?
Aberystwyth Town won 3-1 on April 5, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 13′156363Holywell
- 44′Craig WilliamsAberystwyth Town
- 82′C. VenablesAberystwyth Town
- 89′G. KellawayAberystwyth Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Holywell have 7, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2014 | Afan Lido(home) | 7-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Bala Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2014 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2014 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2014 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Newtown AFC(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Penycae(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 3.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 2.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 3.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Holywell | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/8 | 7/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy