Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell: result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh CupSemi-finalKick-off on April 5, 2014 at 02:15 PM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
Full time
What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell?
Aberystwyth Town won 3-1 on April 5, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 13′156363Holywell
- 44′Craig WilliamsAberystwyth Town
- 82′C. VenablesAberystwyth Town
- 89′G. KellawayAberystwyth Town
Official lineup for Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Aberystwyth Town
- CC. Venables
- AAntonio Giovanni Vincenzo Corbisiero
- CCraig Williams
- GG. Kellaway
- LLuke Sherbon
- TThomas Shaw
- SStuart Jones
- PPeter Hoy
- DD. Thomas
- CCledan Davies
- MM. Lewis
Holywell
- MM. Orme
- PP. D. Williams
- TT. McElmeel
- GG. Williams
- TT. Roebuck
- PP. Williams
- PP. Lloyd
- SS. Jones
- DD. Griffith
- SSteve Thomas
- DD. Stanton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Holywell have 7, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2014 | Afan Lido(home) | 7-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2014 | Bala Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Mar 22, 2014 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2014 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2014 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Porthmadog(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Newtown AFC(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Llandrindod Wells(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Penycae(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 3.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Holywell score 2.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 3.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Holywell | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/8 | 7/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Holywell?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy