AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nordstern Arena Horsens, Horsens
The Footlab model makes AC Horsens the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sonderjyske. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate AC Horsens (1,912) and Sonderjyske (1,920).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Horsens have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sonderjyske have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Odense(away) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Brondby(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-2 | Superliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 0-3 | Superliga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Brondby(away) | 2-3 | Superliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Viborg(home) | 0-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odense(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(home) | 2-3 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AC Horsens win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Sonderjyske win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | AC Horsens 1-4 Sonderjyske | 1. Division |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Sonderjyske 5-0 AC Horsens | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2023 | AC Horsens 1-2 Sonderjyske | DBU Pokalen |
| May 20, 2021 | AC Horsens 1-2 Sonderjyske | Superliga |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Sonderjyske 2-3 AC Horsens | Superliga |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Sonderjyske 2-0 AC Horsens | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske on Mar 9, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
AC Horsens score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sonderjyske score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Horsens | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Sonderjyske | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Horsens sit 6th in Superliga (7 points from 5 matches) and Sonderjyske sit 12th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Horsens | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske?
- The Footlab model makes AC Horsens the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sonderjyske.
- Where and when is AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske played?
- AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nordstern Arena Horsens, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.