Aarhus vs Viborg: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ceres Park & Arena, Århus
The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Viborg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aarhus wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Aarhus (1,988) and Viborg (1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aarhus vs Viborg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aarhus
3-4-2-1- 13J. Serra
- 4M. Knudsen
- 10Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
- 29R. Carstensen
- 39Frederik Emmery
- 31T. Bech
- 23M. Anderson
- 25C. Rösler
- 3D. Grétarsson
- 14T. Mølgaard
- 21M. Hedenstad Christiansen
Viborg
4-3-3- 19Dorian Hanza
- 10S. Jalal
- 11C. Nouck
- 13J. Grønning
- 6M. Søndergaard
- 8A. Beck
- 23O. Bundgaard
- 4L. Kirkegaard
- 26Hjalte Bidstrup
- 5Ž. Zaletel
- 20K. Kiilerich
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aarhus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Viborg have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Horsens(away) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Skjold Sæby(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-2 | Superliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 2-2 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 4-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Silkeborg(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 0-2 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aarhus wins, 1 draw, 1 Viborg win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viborg 2-1 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Aarhus 1-1 Viborg | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Aarhus 6-2 Viborg | Superliga |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Viborg 1-2 Aarhus | Superliga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Aarhus 5-2 Viborg | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Viborg 1-2 Aarhus | Superliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aarhus score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Viborg score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarhus | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Viborg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aarhus sit 11th in Superliga (5 points from 9 matches) and Viborg sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Viborg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 17 |
| 11 | Aarhus | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Aarhus vs Viborg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aarhus vs Viborg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aarhus the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Viborg.
- Where and when is Aarhus vs Viborg played?
- Aarhus vs Viborg is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ceres Park & Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.