AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund: result 1-3 and analysis
International Champions CupChina PR - 1Kick-off on July 18, 2017 at 11:20 AM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund won 1-3 on July 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 16′N. ŞahinBorussia Dortmund
- 20′P. AubameyangBorussia Dortmund (pen.)
- 24′C. BaccaAC Milan
- 62′P. AubameyangBorussia Dortmund
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2017 | Cagliari(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2017 | Bologna(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| May 13, 2017 | Atalanta(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 7, 2017 | AS Roma(home) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Crotone(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2017 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| May 20, 2017 | Werder Bremen(home) | 4-3 | Bundesliga |
| May 13, 2017 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| May 6, 2017 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Apr 29, 2017 | 1. FC Köln(home) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy