AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup E - 2Kick-off on September 14, 2022 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Dinamo Zagreb?
AC Milan won 3-1 on September 14, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 45′O. GiroudAC Milan (pen.)
- 47′A. SaelemaekersAC Milan
- 56′M. OršićDinamo Zagreb
- 77′T. PobegaAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2022 | Sampdoria(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Inter(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Bologna(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2022 | HNK Gorica(away) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Sep 6, 2022 | Chelsea(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 2, 2022 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Sibenik(away) | 2-1 | HNL |
| Aug 24, 2022 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 2.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 13th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 25th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 25 | Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy