Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Zagreb. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On Elo ratings, Sunderland has 2,159 points and Dinamo Zagreb 2,090.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 27N. Sadiki
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 32T. Hume
- 39M. Fofana
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 17Reinildo
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1- 11A. Hoxha
- 10L. Stojković
- 27J. Mišić
- 21M. Lisica
- 80L. Kačavenda
- 99M. Oršić
- 36Sergi Domínguez
- 15N. Galešić
- 26S. McKenna
- 22Olof Matteo Perez Vinlöf
- 24D. Kotarski
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Dinamo Zagreb have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vukovar(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(home) | 3-2 | HNL |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 2-4 | HNL |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bedem Ivankovo(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Zagreb score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 2.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 16th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Dinamo Zagreb sit 17th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Zagreb.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
- Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb is played on November 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.