AC Milan vs Genoa: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 14, 2016 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of AC Milan vs Genoa?
AC Milan won 2-1 on February 14, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 5′C. BaccaAC Milan
- 63′Keisuke HondaAC Milan
- 90′Alessio CerciGenoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Genoa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2016 | Udinese(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Palermo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Inter(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Empoli(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Jan 17, 2016 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | Lazio(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Juventus(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 31, 2016 | Fiorentina(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2016 | Hellas Verona(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 17, 2016 | Palermo(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AC Milan win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Genoa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2015 | Genoa 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2015 | AC Milan 1-3 Genoa | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Genoa 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2014 | Genoa 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2013 | AC Milan 1-1 Genoa | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2013 | Genoa 0-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Genoa | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (3 points from 1 matches) and Genoa sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy