AC Milan vs Genoa: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 18, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of AC Milan vs Genoa?
AC Milan won 1-0 on March 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 33′Matías Ariel Fernández FernándezAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Genoa have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | Juventus(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Chievo(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 13, 2017 | Lazio(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | Sampdoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 5, 2017 | Empoli(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Bologna(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 19, 2017 | Pescara(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| Feb 10, 2017 | Napoli(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AC Milan win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Genoa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | Genoa 3-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 14, 2016 | AC Milan 2-1 Genoa | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Genoa 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2015 | AC Milan 1-3 Genoa | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Genoa 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Apr 7, 2014 | Genoa 1-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Genoa | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (3 points from 1 matches) and Genoa sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy