Inter vs Genoa: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Genoa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,318 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs Genoa?
Inter is a heavy favourite: 2,301 Elo points against 1,952, a 349-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs Genoa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 8P. Sučić
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 28B. Pavard
- 1Josep Martínez
Genoa
3-4-2-1- 18M. Osmajić
- 32M. Frendrup
- 3K. Ehizibue
- 77M. Ellertsson
- 10Junior Messias
- 92S. El Shaarawy
- 25H. Traorè
- 5L. Østigård
- 34S. Otoa
- 22J. Vásquez
- 1J. Bijlow
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 03:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Genoa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter wins, 2 draws, 0 Genoa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Genoa 1-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Inter 1-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Genoa 2-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Inter 2-1 Genoa | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Genoa 1-1 Inter | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Genoa | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and Genoa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Inter vs Genoa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs Genoa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 71%, against 19% for a draw and 10% for Genoa.
- Where and when is Inter vs Genoa played?
- Inter vs Genoa is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.