AC Milan vs Parma: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 26, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Full time
What was the result of AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan won 4-1 on October 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 30′A. NocerinoAC Milan
- 32′A. NocerinoAC Milan
- 73′Z. IbrahimovićAC Milan
- 78′S. GiovincoParma
- 90′A. NocerinoAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Parma have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Lecce(away) | 4-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2011 | Bate Borisov(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Palermo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2011 | Plzen(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | Atalanta(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2011 | Napoli(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Genoa(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2011 | AS Roma(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 AC Milan win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Parma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2011 | AC Milan 4-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2010 | Parma 0-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Parma score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Parma | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (3 points from 1 matches) and Parma sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy